Estimate base-out run expectancy

Model base-out transitions as a Markov chain and find the probability of each terminal state (including runs scored) from any initial state.

Usage

estimate_base_out_run_exp(event)

Arguments

event

dataframe of event data from download_statsapi

Value

a dataframe of exp_runs indexed by runner_1b, runner_2b, runner_3b and out

Examples

data_statsapi <- download_statsapi(
  start_date = "2024-07-01",
  end_date = "2024-07-01"
)
base_out_run_exp <- estimate_base_out_run_exp(event = data_statsapi$event)